Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 12.332519 14.186100 16.163538 18.423484 20.927982 23.611677 26.697887
2025-02-09 9.886864 12.303121 15.037539 18.338593 22.192040 26.524242 31.737945
2025-02-16 7.844293 10.470720 13.601105 17.561434 22.389216 28.033164 35.076216
2025-02-23 6.576025 9.341719 12.791052 17.333252 23.074856 30.005975 38.911958
2025-03-02 5.506822 8.300251 11.935763 16.902822 23.390428 31.448404 42.070681
2025-03-09 4.743845 7.554328 11.357643 16.729049 23.950854 33.146165 45.537539
2025-03-16 4.040547 6.796466 10.671984 16.323532 24.134238 34.313887 48.315005
2025-03-23 3.601249 6.363199 10.382096 16.409194 24.939104 36.278937 52.146856
2025-03-30 3.186604 5.914350 10.019658 16.346446 25.507075 37.917226 55.566890
2025-04-06 2.892468 5.618296 9.849369 16.532312 26.407369 40.009866 59.631951
2025-04-13 2.632626 5.346332 9.686470 16.704683 27.276333 42.067062 63.686693
2025-04-20 2.464770 5.209934 9.718957 17.162619 28.564377 44.732718 68.635227
2025-04-27 2.283128 5.031944 9.673110 17.498572 29.689946 47.213376 73.413769
2025-05-04 2.058203 4.748202 9.427517 17.497537 30.297315 48.958269 77.190488
2025-05-11 1.739473 4.245939 8.767719 16.781102 29.765288 49.014936 78.543191
2025-05-18 1.539578 3.949149 8.435778 16.574141 30.001180 50.189063 81.515124
2025-05-25 1.334813 3.613555 8.003104 16.164113 29.885747 50.819993 83.692620
2025-06-01 1.185773 3.375159 7.726238 15.998582 30.145595 52.011142 86.709085
2025-06-08 1.027407 3.091969 7.337908 15.608128 30.011256 52.582454 88.800499
2025-06-15 0.938034 2.955182 7.220495 15.691153 30.657977 54.369362 92.749804
2025-06-22 0.843127 2.790611 7.032514 15.630750 31.054130 55.766773 96.129624
2025-06-29 0.779687 2.695325 6.977017 15.810180 31.860722 57.826487 100.559994
2025-07-06 0.720577 2.602337 6.917810 15.976564 32.645994 59.866028 104.995078